By Raul Castillo
01 Feb 2024, 18:03 PM EST
More than half of American voters surveyed, 51%, believe that if former President Donald Trump were convicted of a “serious crime,” it would be a “just result,” and even more, 53%, believe that “it would not be should allow him” to return to the position of president in such a scenario.
According to the latest Yahoo News/YouGov poll, released Thursday, 51% of registered voters say a conviction for a “felony” would be a “fair outcome intended to hold him accountable for his actions,” compared to 38% who say it would be an “unfair result intended to harm him politically.”
The margin of those who think it would be an “unfair result” is much larger among Republican voters: 72% think that, while 68% think Trump should be allowed to serve again even if he is convicted of a crime. serious.
However, a significant proportion of respondents were unaware of the alleged crimes for which Trump faces four indictments, for a total of 91 felony charges.
Specifically, nearly half the country thinks Trump has not been impeached (between 14% and 18%, depending on the charge) or is unsure (between 27% and 32%). Republicans are especially unaware of Trump’s allegations, with majorities saying he has not been charged with any particular charge (24% to 30%) or that they are unsure (27% to 35%).
When respondents were asked what crimes they believe Trump has been charged with, 58% were more likely to correctly say that he was charged with allegedly “taking highly classified documents from the White House and obstructing efforts to recover them.”
Meanwhile, the allegation related to Trump’s efforts to obstruct the certification of the 2020 election was the least familiar to respondents: Only about half correctly said he was charged with “attempting to obstruct the certification of a presidential election.”
If guilty, Biden wins
Regarding the presidential race, the numbers could change radically for Trump if he is found guilty in some of his trials.
In the GOP presidential race, 79% of likely Republican primary voters say Trump and just 14% say former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley. When asked which candidate they would support if Trump were convicted of a felony, Trump’s support drops (to 62%) and Haley’s increases (to 26%).
The swing, therefore, would be insufficient to cause Trump to lose the Republican Party primaries. Not so in the presidential elections.
Currently, according to the survey, Trump leads Biden by just one percentage point: 45% to 44%. But if Trump were convicted of a felony, then President Biden would defeat him 46% to 40%.
The YouGov poll was conducted Jan. 25-29 among 1,594 adults, with a margin of error of 2.7 percentage points.
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