Forecasts suggest July will be the hottest month in New York after intense storms

It’s summer in northeast New York, so the month is expected to be warmer. However, the latest forecast from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center predicts temperatures in July will be above the historical average.

Last weekend, temperatures soared to 95° F for three days in a row on Staten Island, according to the Advance/SILive.com weather station. Although it is not unusual, it was too hot in June.

Likewise, meteorological data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), collected between 1991 and 2020, reveal that, as a general rule, the average maximum temperature from June 21 to 23 (which reached 95° F) is between 81 and 82 degrees. This means that the heat exceeded the average maximum by more than 10 degrees.

Moving away from the relentless heat, the last week of June saw a change in weather pattern that varied between fairly warm and humid days and days where the temperature felt milder.

July looks like a hot month

July is expected to be hot throughout New York, especially in the northeastern part of the state.

The latest NWS forecasts show that the entire state has a high chance of experiencing temperatures that exceed the norm. The tri-state area has a 70% to 80% chance of higher than expected temperatures this month.

While it is not known exactly to what extent temperatures will be above average, it should be noted that NOAA data reveals the average high temperature for the month of 84.9° F.

This limited forecast does not say whether temperatures will remain a few degrees higher, or whether numbers approaching 100° F could be seen, but it does indicate that there is a high chance that temperatures will exceed what is generally expected.

Precipitation expectations for July

Much of New York State will be spared from rainfall anomalies for the month. However, far western parts of the state are likely to see fewer showers during July.

For its part, the Climate Prediction Center indicates that citizens in the western half of New York have a 33 and 40% chance of experiencing less precipitation than normally expected.

While it may not be as certain a possibility as the temperature forecast, it could be a sign of an above-average July in areas like Buffalo and Rochester.

Keep reading:

• Chicago: the weather for today, Monday, July 1
• New York: Weather forecast for Monday, July 1
• Beryl becomes a Category 4 hurricane as it makes a dangerous move across the Atlantic